🧠 The Setup
It’s been four straight weeks of sideways grind in the S&P 500 futures — but this week we finally got something different: new value built higher and a strong Friday close into 6008.00. We’re officially outside of the prior range, and what happens from here could dictate how the next several weeks unfold.
The bullish imbalance is real, and the market is telling us it's ready to move — but that doesn’t mean we chase blindly. We’ve got very specific inflection points that separate healthy continuation from failed breakouts.
This review walks you through what I’m watching, where I’ll be trading, and which levels I consider mission-critical for the week ahead.
🔍 Key Zones to Watch This Week
🔼 Primary Resistance Zones
These are where I’m watching for reactions, fade entries, or trend acceleration:
6026.50 – Weekly resistance and first upside test
6030.75 – Untested daily; decision point for bulls
6061.25 – 6067.25 – Confluence of 4H + monthly + single prints
6103.75 – Top of bullish imbalance + Daily level and my favorite fade candidate
6129.25 – Weekly level just under all-time highs
6138.00 – 6139.75 – Final zone before ATH sweep
🔽 Primary Support Zones
These are spots where I’m looking for dip buys or confirmation of failure:
5993.25 – 4H support from Friday
5984.75 – Friday’s low — must hold early week
5973.00 – 5972.25 – 🔥 Critical spot: if lost, structure starts to slip
5950.00 – 5930.00 – Major buy zone if tested and reclaimed
5907.00 – 5891.75 – Breakdown zone; if we get here, everything changes
🎯 The Game Plan
📌 Scenario 1: The Breakout Holds
As long as we stay above 5973.00, this is a “buy dips” market.
I’m watching for a reclaim above 6026.50 early week.
If we clear 6030.75 and base above it → look for momentum to push into 6061.25 and eventually 6103.75.
6103.75 is where I’ll consider a tactical fade, especially if momentum stalls.
📌 Scenario 2: Bullish Failure + Reversion
If we reject at 6026.50 – 6030.75 and can’t reclaim Friday’s high...
Pullbacks into 5984.75 and 5973.00 become buy zones — but only with confirmation.
If 5972.25 fails → short bias opens up toward 5950.00 – 5930.00.
📌 Scenario 3: Breakdown Mode
A clean break below 5930.00 with no reclaim = watch for acceleration into 5907.00, then 5828.75.
I will not be bullish under 5891.75 without clear structure and volume coming back in.
🧠 Final Word
This week’s structure is finally giving us something to work with. The big takeaway: 5972.25 is the line in the sand. If that holds, every pullback is a potential long opportunity. But if that fails, this entire breakout unwinds quickly.
Either way, we’re prepared. The plan is simple: don’t chase — react. Let price come to our spots, confirm, and then execute.
📈 Want live guidance on how we’re playing this week’s levels?
👉 Join the VICI Discord for real-time insights, trading tools, and community discussions.
Until next time — trade smart, stay prepared, and together we will conquer these markets.
Ryan Bailey
VICI Trading Solutions
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