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S&P 500 Futures Weekend Review & What's Next: Major Levels Break as Bullish Imbalance Builds Momentum

After four weeks of overlapping value, ES closes strong and forms a bullish imbalance — here’s the full roadmap for continuation or potential fade setups, with precise trade triggers.

🧠 The Setup

It’s been four straight weeks of sideways grind in the S&P 500 futures — but this week we finally got something different: new value built higher and a strong Friday close into 6008.00. We’re officially outside of the prior range, and what happens from here could dictate how the next several weeks unfold.

The bullish imbalance is real, and the market is telling us it's ready to move — but that doesn’t mean we chase blindly. We’ve got very specific inflection points that separate healthy continuation from failed breakouts.

This review walks you through what I’m watching, where I’ll be trading, and which levels I consider mission-critical for the week ahead.


🔍 Key Zones to Watch This Week

🔼 Primary Resistance Zones

These are where I’m watching for reactions, fade entries, or trend acceleration:

  • 6026.50 – Weekly resistance and first upside test

  • 6030.75 – Untested daily; decision point for bulls

  • 6061.25 – 6067.25 – Confluence of 4H + monthly + single prints

  • 6103.75 – Top of bullish imbalance + Daily level and my favorite fade candidate

  • 6129.25 – Weekly level just under all-time highs

  • 6138.00 – 6139.75 – Final zone before ATH sweep

🔽 Primary Support Zones

These are spots where I’m looking for dip buys or confirmation of failure:

  • 5993.25 – 4H support from Friday

  • 5984.75 – Friday’s low — must hold early week

  • 5973.00 – 5972.25 – 🔥 Critical spot: if lost, structure starts to slip

  • 5950.00 – 5930.00 – Major buy zone if tested and reclaimed

  • 5907.00 – 5891.75 – Breakdown zone; if we get here, everything changes


🎯 The Game Plan

📌 Scenario 1: The Breakout Holds

  • As long as we stay above 5973.00, this is a “buy dips” market.

  • I’m watching for a reclaim above 6026.50 early week.

  • If we clear 6030.75 and base above it → look for momentum to push into 6061.25 and eventually 6103.75.

  • 6103.75 is where I’ll consider a tactical fade, especially if momentum stalls.

📌 Scenario 2: Bullish Failure + Reversion

  • If we reject at 6026.50 – 6030.75 and can’t reclaim Friday’s high...

  • Pullbacks into 5984.75 and 5973.00 become buy zones — but only with confirmation.

  • If 5972.25 fails → short bias opens up toward 5950.00 – 5930.00.

📌 Scenario 3: Breakdown Mode

  • A clean break below 5930.00 with no reclaim = watch for acceleration into 5907.00, then 5828.75.

  • I will not be bullish under 5891.75 without clear structure and volume coming back in.



🧠 Final Word

This week’s structure is finally giving us something to work with. The big takeaway: 5972.25 is the line in the sand. If that holds, every pullback is a potential long opportunity. But if that fails, this entire breakout unwinds quickly.

Either way, we’re prepared. The plan is simple: don’t chase — react. Let price come to our spots, confirm, and then execute.


📈 Want live guidance on how we’re playing this week’s levels?
👉 Join the VICI Discord for real-time insights, trading tools, and community discussions.

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Until next time — trade smart, stay prepared, and together we will conquer these markets.
Ryan Bailey
VICI Trading Solutions

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