🧠 Overview
The S&P 500 Futures (ES) continue to push higher, holding trend and structure, but cracks are starting to show. We’re still above key support and technically bullish — but there’s real potential for a pullback if critical zones start to give way. This week's video goes deep into both sides of the trade, highlighting the prime resistance zones that could trigger rotation, and the cleanest support levels to position long with edge. Whether we squeeze into fresh highs or dip first, the path is clear — and we’re ready for both outcomes.
🔼 Overhead Resistance (Short Zones)
🎯 Primary Resistance Zone
6302.00 → 6307.25
6302.00 – Weekly level with 4H and 1H confluence
6305.25 – Friday’s POC
6307.25 – Major untested level from previous highs
→ Plan:
This zone is the best risk/reward area to try a short. Look for rejection below 6307.25 with a stop above 6309.75. If it confirms, look for rotation down to 6284.75, 6263.00, and potentially deeper.
🔸 Secondary Resistance Zones
6283.00 → 6284.75 – Thick 4H zone with key high-lost structure
6289.50 – Untested 1H level that’s played well historically
6320.00 → 6324.50 – All-time high zone with an untested daily at 6322.00 and 1H at 6324.50
→ Plan:
If we trade through 6302.00/ 6310 and don’t reject, watch for squeezes into 6320.00+. Each of these levels offers a short-term scalp opportunity, especially if volume and momentum fade into resistance.
🔽 Support Zones (Buy Zones)
✅ High-Conviction Long Zone (FBD Setup)
6240.00 → 6248.00
6240.00 – 4HR Untested Leg End
6248.00 – Significant daily support
→ Plan:
If price pulls into this zone and reclaims 6248 this is a long opportunity back to 6263.00 and higher. Beautiful structure and an ideal zone to buy the dip to trigger a failed break down.
🔹 Failed Breakdown Reclaim Long
6220.75 → 6224.00
6220.75 – 4H level
6224.00 – Reclaim trigger level
→ Plan:
A flush below this area that reclaims 6224.00 could offer a failed breakdown long targeting 6234.00 → 6240.00+. Ideal for intraday scalps or small swing entries.
🔻 Deeper Pullback / Swing Long Setup
6154.00 → 6143.75
6154.00 & 6149.25 – Untested dailies
6147.25 – Naked WK POC
6143.75 – Weekly support
6166.50 – Key February all-time high reclaim trigger
→ Plan:
If we flush into this range and regain 6166.50, this sets up a massive swing long opportunity. Target 6220.75 → 6270.00+. This is your "buy and go play golf" setup.
🎯 Final Thoughts
We’re sitting just under major resistance, with plenty of room both above and below. Don’t force anything. Let price come to your levels, wait for confirmation, and lean into the setups that offer the cleanest structure.
The market is telling a story — just follow the plot.
Until next time — trade smart, stay prepared, and together we will conquer these markets.
Ryan Bailey, VICI Trading Solutions
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